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August 5, 2010
StarMine quantitatively analyzes the earnings estimate accuracy of sell-side analysts and uses this information to create SmartEstimates. StarMine SmartEstimates predict future earnings more accurately than consensus estimates by putting more weight on the recent forecasts of StarMine's top-rated analysts.
StarMine creates SmartEstimates for multiple forecast fields, including Revenue, Cash Flow, EBITDA, Dividends, and more. Each day, StarMine creates SmartEstimates for thousands of stocks around the globe. When SmartEstimates diverge significantly from consensus, you can anticipate earnings surprises with an accuracy rate of 70%. Revenue SmartEstimates are even more predictive of surprises, with a historical accuracy rate of 78%.
SmartEstimates can also help you create more accurate equity valuations, and are useful in predicting future analyst revisions.
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Predicted Surprises for the current fiscal year
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| TUI1 GR: Tui Ag |
Predicted Surprise: +112.3% |
| Consensus: EUR0.19 |
StarMine SmartEstimate: EUR0.41 |
Report Date: 8-Nov-10 |
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Analyst Highlights
D'Halluin / Juillard (  ) of Natixis has a StarMine "Bold Estimate" of EUR 0.78 D'Halluin / Juillard believe the improvement in global shipping container demand will assist earnings though Tui's Hapag-Llyod investment.
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| SNI NO: Stolt-Nielsen S.A. |
Predicted Surprise: +20.8% |
| Consensus: $0.34 |
StarMine SmartEstimate: $0.41 |
Report Date: 30-Sep-10 |
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Analyst Highlights
Lars Kalbakken ( ) of Carnegie Investment Bank Ab has a StarMine "Bold Estimate" of $0.46 Darius Grinvaldas (  ) of Terra Markets As has an estimate of $0.52 Kalbakken forecasts the chemical tanker market to improve.
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| RHM GR: Rheinmetall Ag |
Predicted Surprise: +14.1% |
| Consensus: EUR0.83 |
StarMine SmartEstimate: EUR0.94 |
Report Date: 11-Aug-10 |
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Analyst Highlights
Markus Turnwald ( ) of DZ Bank AG has an estimate of EUR0.92 |
| LEO GR: Leoni Ag |
Predicted Surprise: +11.3% |
| Consensus: EUR0.57 |
StarMine SmartEstimate: EUR0.63 |
Report Date: 16-Aug-10 |
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Analyst Highlights
Chris Breitsprecher ( ) of Macquarie Researchhas an estimate of EUR0.77 Henning Cosman ( ) of WestLB Research has an estimate of EUR0.69 Breitsprecher expects strong end-user demand in North America and Asia to drive earnings.
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| ARYN SW: Aryzta Ag |
Predicted Surprise: +3.3% |
| Consensus: EUR2.27 |
StarMine SmartEstimate: EUR2.34 |
Report Date: 30-Sep-10 |
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Analyst Highlights
Jon Cox ( ) of Kepler Capital Markets has an estimate of EUR2.47 Patrik Schwendimann ( ) of Zurcher Kantonalbank has an estimate of EUR2.62 Cox sees improvement in the food service channel in the US and UK as positives for earnings.
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Data through August 3, 2010.
All Predicted Surprises and estimates are for the next reporting period. |
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This newsletter features stocks that we predict will experience an earnings surprise in the upcoming reporting season. All surprise predictions are uncovered using the powerful analytic and screening capabilities of StarMine Professional.
StarMine Professional provides analyst ratings and SmartEstimates for every stock around the world. Learn more with a free 30-day trial.
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